"We think that ARPU levels are stabilizing at China Unicom and China Telecom. We expect that China Mobile will see its monthly ARPU decrease from RMB 83.00 in 2008 to RMB 62.41 in 2013. On the other hand, we forecast that ARPUs at China Unicom and China Telecom will be stable at approximately RMB 41 and RMB 63 over the forecast period, 2009 - 2013," said Mr. Assanie.

IEMR's China Mobile Operator Forecast covers 50 financial and operational metrics on wireless operators in China - China Mobile Ltd., China Unicom Ltd., and China Telecom Corporation Limited. Notable highlights of the 4Q09 China Mobile Operator Forecast include:

* We expect that China Telecom's subscriber market share will increase from 4.4% in 2008 to 11.4% in 2013. On the other hand, China Unicom, which sold part of its operations to China Telecom in 2008, will see its subscriber market share fall from 20.8% in 2008 to 15.3% in 2013. We forecast that China Mobile will maintain its high market share in the Chinese wireless market over the next five years. We expect that its share of total subscribers will be 71.3% in 2013.

* According to our forecasting model, China Mobile's EBITDA margin (calculated as EBITDA/reported revenue) will increase from 52.5% in 2008 to 57.9% in 2013. China Unicom's EBITDA margin will remain lower. We expect that China Unicom's EBITDA margin will be 26.9% in 2013.

IEMR's Global Mobile Operator Forecast covers 50 operational metrics of 200+ mobile operators in 50 countries, making up 80% of the world's population. Forecasts are based on our proprietary, country-specific forecasting models. These models deploy multiple regression analysis and cross-impact matrices that estimate relationships between subscriber data, technology use and deployment data, overall economic and demographic changes expected in a particular country; and relate these to company operational and financial metrics.

To purchase this report, visit our website at: http://www.iemarketresearch.com/Members/Reports/ViewReportDetail.aspx?RID=1321&flag=1

Companies Covered in this Country Mobile Operator Forecast

China Mobile Ltd.

China Unicom Ltd.

China Telecom Corporation Limited

Annual Results & Forecasts for each of the above operators is covered in this report for: CY 2001-CY 2013. Quarterly Results & Forecasts are covered for: March 2003 - June 2011

PREPAID AND POSTPAID SUBSCRIBERS

SUBSCRIBER GROWTH (YoY)

SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR

SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)

NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS BY OPERATOR

NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR

MONTHLY CHURN BY OPERATOR

POST-PAID SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR

POST-PAID SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)

PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR

PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR

POST-PAID % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR

PREPAID/WHOLESALE % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR

POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR

POST-PAID ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)

PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR

PREPAID/WHOLESALE ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR

MONTHLY ARPU BY OPERATOR

MONTHLY ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %)

DATA % OF SERVICE REVENUES BY OPERATOR

MONTHLY DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR

DATA ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)

MONTHLY VOICE ARPU BY OPERATOR

VOICE ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)

VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE BY OPERATOR

VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)

MOU PER SUBSCRIBER BY OPERATOR (MINUTES/MONTH)

MOU/SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %)

SHARE OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR

HHI INDEX BY SUBSCRIBER SHARE

SHARE OF NET ADDS BY OPERATOR

SHARE OF POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR

SHARE OF PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR

SHARE OF SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR

HHI INDEX BY SERVICE REVENUE SHARE

YoY CHANGE IN REVENUE SHARE BY OPERATOR

REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)

SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)

EBITDA BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) *

CAPEX BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) *

SERVICE REVENUE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)

EBITDA GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) *

EBITDA/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR *

EBITDA/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR *

EBITDA/INCREMENTAL SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR *

CAPEX/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR *

CAPEX/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR *

(EBITDA-CAPEX)/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR *

EBITDA MARGIN EXPANSION/CONTRACTION BY OPERATOR *

REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD)

ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD)

DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD)

VOICE REV/MINUTE BY OPERATOR (USD)

SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD)

EBITDA BY OPERATOR (USD) *

CAPEX BY OPERATOR (USD) *

* Available only for China Mobile Ltd. and China Unicom Ltd.

CONTACT: Mr. Nizar Assanie, Vice President (Research), IE Market Research Tel: +1 604 327 4367 e-mail: info@iemarketresearch.com WWW: http://www.iemarketresearch.com

((M2 Communications disclaims all liability for information provided within M2 PressWIRE. Data supplied by named party/parties. Further information on M2 PressWIRE can be obtained at http://www.presswire.net on the world wide web. Inquiries to info@m2.com.

In China Mobile's existing GSM network, about 30,000 base stations and over 100,000 carrier frequencies were supplied by Nortel.

Nortel's GSM products have high quality, but some of the products are aging while Nortel cannot upgrade them in time, which result in difficulties in network maintenance, explained the insider.

Before the mature of the TD-SCDMA industrial chain, China Mobile still depends on GSM network and takes measures for network upgrade and capacity enlargement because the network is the largest profit distributor for the telecom carrier.

Source: www.163.com (November 20, 2009)

Technicians detailed that a TD-LTE network is compatible with an average downloading speed of 60Mbps, as much as 20 to 30 times the average downloading speed of mainstream 3G networks.

In addition, a TD-LTE network facilitates the simultaneous playing of 16 stream media videos on the same mobile terminal, compared to one or two supported by 3G networks.

Source: www.163.com (November 19, 2009)

Wang says that he has discussed with Qualcomm CEO Paul Jacobs and the latter promises that his company will pay equal attention to the development of TDD- and FDD-based LTE chips.

At the ITU Telecom World 2009 held in Geneva, Switzerland in October, China Mobile displayed the high-definition video applications of the TD-LTE system, whose average download speed reached 60Mbps, 20 to 30 times that of current mainstream 3G networks.

China Mobile has built up a small-sized TD-LTE experimental network in Shanghai, which will have a pre-commercial trial during the World Expo to be held in the city next year.

The company held the 2009 LTE TDD/FDD Forum in Hong Kong today, which was attended by telecoms names such as NTT Docomo, Ericsson, Motorola Inc. (NYSE: MOT), Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd., and Datang Telecom Technology and Industry Group.

Source: www.163.com (November 17, 2009)