Zacks Bull and Bear of the Day Highlights: Petrobras, Liberty Interactive, D.R. Horton, Whirlpool and Fortune Brands
CHICAGO, May 15, 2009 (BUSINESS WIRE) --
Companies: D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI), Fortune Brands, Inc. (FO), Liberty Media Corp - Interactive (LINTA), Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras (PBR), Whirlpool Corp. (WHR)
Zacks Equity Research highlights Petrobras (NYSE: PBR) as the Bull of the Day and Liberty Interactive (Nasdaq: LINTA) the Bear of the Day. In addition, Zacks Equity Research provides analysis on D.R. Horton (NYSE: DHI), Whirlpool (NYSE: WHR) and Fortune Brands (NYSE: FO).
Full analysis of all these stocks is available at http://at.zacks.com/?id=2676.
Here is a synopsis of all five stocks:
Bull of the Day:
We are changing our recommendation on Petrobras (NYSE: PBR) ADRs from Hold to Buy. We like Petrobras for its positive production-growth profile, and the improving outlook for its downstream business.
Moreover, the discovery of the giant Tupi field opens up a new range of possibilities for the company in the long run. The continued growth in production is a trend that should prevail in the short-to medium-term.
First quarter 2009 results were positive due to increased production, improved operating margins and sound cash-flow generation. Finally, oil prices have been recovering in the last several weeks.
Bear of the Day:
We maintain our under-performer rating on Liberty Interactive (Nasdaq: LINTA). We now think the consumer-led economic slowdown will continue to stifle the company's earnings growth well into 2009, with little visibility to improvement other than easing comps.
When the economy turns, we expect Liberty Interactive to accelerate EPS growth to a mid-teens rate and maintain it for several years, driven by QVC. Indeed, despite QVC's challenging retail environment, Liberty Interactive posted 2% revenue growth, albeit with declining margins. Also driving the growth is Liberty's e-commerce business, which currently is doubling its revenue and OIBDA year over year.
Neverthess, at 14.0x our 2010 EPS estimates, we think the stock is richly valued, presenting a poor risk/reward proposition in a climate of murky earnings visibility with potential earnings estimate cuts more likely than increases.
Latest Posts on the Zacks Analyst Blog:
How Big Was the Housing ATM?
If we didn't have growth due to the housing bubble, we would have hardly had any growth at all.
This data does seem to correspond to the data showing no increase in median income over the period. It also explains why it is not just people who bought their houses near the top who are in trouble right now.
Historically, Residential Investment (RI) has been the primary driver to lead the economy out of a recession. A housing recovery obviously helps homebuilders like D.R. Horton (NYSE: DHI) and those that supply it like Whirlpool (NYSE: WHR) and Fortune Brands (NYSE: FO).
The equity extraction helped support just about every part of the consumer based economy. With foreclosures still on the rise and a huge inventory of houses (both new and used) still out there, it is hard to see RI lifting the economy this time around. RI has already shrunk to its smallest percentage of GDP on record (after being at near record highs just a few years ago), so it might not fall that much further.
Get the full analysis of all these stocks by going to http://at.zacks.com/?id=2649.
About the Bull and Bear of the Day
Every day, the analysts at Zacks Equity Research select two stocks that are likely to outperform (Bull) or underperform (Bear) the markets over the next 3-6 months.
About the Analyst Blog
Updated throughout every trading day, the Analyst Blog provides analysis from Zacks Equity Research about the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets.
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SOURCE: Zacks.com
Mark Vickery 312-265-9380 Visit: www.zacks.com
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Companies: D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI), Fortune Brands, Inc. (FO), Liberty Media Corp - Interactive (LINTA), Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras (PBR), Whirlpool Corp. (WHR)
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