IE Market Research Corporation: Total wireless subscribers in Turkey to reach 76 million in 2013 with Turkcell taking 56.9% market share, according to new market research report by IEMR

IE Market Research Corp. (IEMR), the Canadian-based provider of market intelligence services, announced today the release of its 3Q09 Turkey Operator Forecast, 2009 - 2013.

"Turkcell continues to be the leader in Turkey's wireless market. We forecast that Turkcell will have 43.2 million wireless subscribers in 2013," said Nizar Assanie, Vice President (Research) at IEMR. "Given the recent performance, we think that Vodafone's subscriber market share in Turkey will decline from 25.2% in 2008 to 15.3% in 2013. In contrast, we expect that Turkcell's market share will increase from 55.7% to 56.9% while Avea's share increases from 19.1% to 27.8% over the forecast period, 2008 - 2013."

"In terms of ARPUs, our model predicts that the industry average monthly ARPU will change from TRY 16.72 to TRY 16.56 over the forecast period, 2008 -2013. At the operator level, we forecast that Turkcell will continue to receive the highest ARPU in the country of TRY 18.80 per month in 2013 (up from TRY 18.60 in 2008). On the other hand, Vodafone's monthly ARPU will decrease from TRY 13.65 in 2008 to TRY 11.46 in 2013 and Avea's monthly ARPU will decrease from TRY 15.30 in 2008 to TRY 14.86 in 2013," said Mr. Assanie.

IEMR's Turkey Mobile Operator Forecast covers 50 financial and operational metrics on wireless operators in Turkey - Turkcell, Vodafone, and Avea. Notable highlights of the 3Q09 Turkey Mobile Operator Forecast include:

* Total wireless subscribers in Turkey will increase from 66.4 million in 2008 to 76.0 million in 2013. Turkcell will continue to be the largest operator in the country with 43.2 million mobile subscribers in 2013. On the other hand, given the latest quarter numbers, we forecast that Vodafone will have 11.6 million and Avea (Turk Telekom) will have 21.1 million wireless subscriber accounts in 2013.

* We forecast that the industry average EBITDA margin (calculated as EBITDA/reported revenue) will decrease over the next several years from 28.3% in 2008 to 25.4% in 2013. Our model forecasts that Turkcell's EBITDA margin will decline from 39.1% in 2008 to 36.1% in 2013.

IEMR's Global Mobile Operator Forecast covers 50 operational metrics of 200+ mobile operators in 50 countries, making up 80% of the world's population. Forecasts are based on our proprietary, country-specific forecasting models. These models deploy multiple regression analysis and cross-impact matrices that estimate relationships between subscriber data, technology use and deployment data, overall economic and demographic changes expected in a particular country; and relate these to company operational and financial metrics.

To purchase this report, visit our website at: http://www.iemarketresearch.com/Members/Reports/ViewReportDetail.aspx?RID=1256&flag=1

Companies Covered in this Country Mobile Operator Forecast

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. (Turkcell)

Vodafone Group Plc

Avea (Turk Telekomunikasyon A.S. (Turk Telekom))

Annual Results & Forecasts for each of the above operators is covered in this report for: CY 2001-CY 2013. Quarterly Results & Forecasts are covered for: Mar 2003 - Mar 2011

PREPAID AND POSTPAID SUBSCRIBERS

SUBSCRIBER GROWTH (YoY)

SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR

SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)

NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS BY OPERATOR

NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR

MONTHLY CHURN BY OPERATOR *

POST-PAID SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR **

POST-PAID SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) **

PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR

PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR

POST-PAID % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR **

PREPAID/WHOLESALE % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR

POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR **

POST-PAID ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) **

PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR

PREPAID/WHOLESALE ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR

MONTHLY ARPU BY OPERATOR

MONTHLY ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %)

DATA % OF SERVICE REVENUES BY OPERATOR *

MONTHLY DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR *

DATA ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) *

MONTHLY VOICE ARPU BY OPERATOR

VOICE ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)

VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE BY OPERATOR

VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)

MOU PER SUBSCRIBER BY OPERATOR (MINUTES/MONTH)

MOU/SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %)

SHARE OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR

HHI INDEX BY SUBSCRIBER SHARE

SHARE OF NET ADDS BY OPERATOR

SHARE OF POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR

SHARE OF PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR

SHARE OF SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR

HHI INDEX BY SERVICE REVENUE SHARE

YoY CHANGE IN REVENUE SHARE BY OPERATOR

REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)

SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)

EBITDA BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) **

CAPEX BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) *

SERVICE REVENUE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)

EBITDA GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) **

EBITDA/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR **

EBITDA/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR **

EBITDA/INCREMENTAL SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR **

CAPEX/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR *

CAPEX/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR *

(EBITDA-CAPEX)/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR *

EBITDA MARGIN EXPANSION/CONTRACTION BY OPERATOR **

REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD)

ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD)

DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD) *

VOICE REV/MINUTE BY OPERATOR (USD)

SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD)

EBITDA BY OPERATOR (USD) **

CAPEX BY OPERATOR (USD) *

* Available only for Turkcell

** Available only for Turkcell and Avea (Turk Telekom)

CONTACT: Mr. Nizar Assanie, Vice President (Research), IE Market Research Tel: +1 604 327 4367 e-mail: info@iemarketresearch.com WWW: http://www.iemarketresearch.com

((M2 Communications disclaims all liability for information provided within M2 PressWIRE. Data supplied by named party/parties. Further information on M2 PressWIRE can be obtained at http://www.presswire.net on the world wide web. Inquiries to info@m2.com.

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