Research and Markets: USA Will Have 352.5 Million Mobile Subscribers in 2013 with Verizon Wireless Taking 36.1% Market Share

Research and Markets (http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/697091/4q09_united_states) has announced the addition of IE Market Research Corp.'s new report "4Q09 United States Mobile Operator Forecast, 2009 - 2013" to their offering.

USA will have 352.5 million mobile subscribers in 2013 with Verizon Wireless taking 36.1% market share

Mobile Operator Forecast on the United States provides over 50 operational and financial metrics for the US wireless market and is one of the best forecasts in the industry. The publisher provides five-year forecasts at the operator level going out to 2013. They also provide quarterly historical and forecast data starting in 1Q2003 and ending in 2Q2011. Operators covered for the United States include: Verizon Wireless (Joint venture of Verizon Communications Inc. and Vodafone Group Plc.), AT&T Mobility LLC, Sprint Nextel Corporation, and T-Mobile USA, Inc. The publisher's Mobile Operator Forecasts are updated quarterly and are available for one-time delivery or through regular updates.

Global Mobile Operator Forecast covers 50 operational metrics of 200+ mobile operators in 50+ countries, making up 80% of the world's population. The publisher's forecasts are based on their proprietary, country-specific forecasting models. These models deploy multiple regression analysis and cross-impact matrices that estimate relationships between subscriber data, technology use and deployment data, overall economic and demographic changes expected in a particular country; and relate these to company operational and financial metrics.

Subscriber growth is slowing down in the US wireless market +5.2% industry average subscriber growth in 2Q.2009

ARPU growth continues to be negative

1.6% industry average ARPU growth in 2Q.2009

Minutes of Use per Subscriber are stabilizing The industry average MOU/Sub growth (YoY) of -0.8% in 2Q.2009

Positive EBITDA growth at Verizon Wireless and AT&T Mobility continues +1.1% industry-average EBITDA growth in 2Q.2009

So what is IEMR's Forecast?

Total wireless subscribers in the United States to reach 352.5 million in 2013

The publisher forecasts that total wireless subscribers in USA will increase from 270.3 million in 2008 to 352.5 million in 2013. Verizon Wireless will continue to be the largest mobile operator in the country. The publisher's model predicts that Verizon Wireless's subscriber base will increase to 127.4 million in 2013. On the other hand, they forecast that AT&T Mobility will have 111.9 million subscribers and T-Mobile will have 43.1 million subscribers in 2013.

In spite of rapid growth of smaller operators, Verizon Wireless and AT&T Mobility will see their subscriber market shares increase over the next five years

The publisher's forecasting model predicts that Verizon Wireless's market share will increase from 31.5% to 36.1% and AT&T Mobility's market share will increase from 28.5% to 31.7% over the forecast period, 2008 - 2013. The publisher also expects that T-Mobile's market share will remain at approximately 12.2% over the next five years while Sprint-Nextel's market share declines dramatically.

Industry average ARPU level in the United States to decline slightly over the forecast period, 2009 - 2013

The publisher expects that the industry-average monthly ARPU level will fall from $51.29 in 2008 to $51.09 in 2013. However, the overall ARPU decline is largely driven by smaller operators. They expect that Verizon's monthly ARPU level will increase from $50.26 in 2008 to $51.25 in 2013.

Verizon Wireless will continue to enjoy the highest level of profitability in the US wireless market

The publisher's model predicts that the industry average EBITDA margin (calculated as EBITDA/reported revenue) will be declining from 32.4% in 2008 to 29.8% in 2013. On the other hand, they forecast that Verizon Wireless's EBITDA margin will improve from 39.0% in 2008 to 42.0% in 2013.

Companies Mentioned:

Verizon Wireless (Joint venture of Verizon Communications Inc. and Vodafone Group Plc.) AT&T Mobility LLC Sprint Nextel Corporation T-Mobile USA, Inc.

For more information visit http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/697091/4q09_united_states

SOURCE: Research and Markets Ltd.

Research and Markets 
Laura Wood, Senior Manager 
U.S. Fax: 646-607-1907 
Fax (outside U.S.): +353-1-481-1716 
press@researchandmarkets.com

Related terms: communications, ebitda, forecasts, investment opinion, joint venture, market, market share, population, research, revenue, united states, wireless